Source : Internet
After a hundred years?
The simple mechanical ones, if well cared for , they will still work. But that takes a certain devotion to preservation that's not seen all too often.
The rest will be beautifying another landfill.
Electronics? Same story, the simpler the better. If ! you can find parts mind you. If kept in a pristine and clean state, kept away from such pesty things as corrosion and four year olds....
Build in obsolescence takes care of the majority of machines today, wouldn't want to stop buying new ones, would we? That'll blow the consumer society straight to hell.
Tesla's original turbines Still work in Niagara Falls. It's been a while, and the man knew simplicity.
So again. Superior materials, superior design and superior care keep some things serviceable for over a hundred years.
A thousand?
Not a one. Not any one we Use today. Which is not to say that the machine itself, as a tool, a design, will be gone for good.
I'm pretty sure that Washing machines, for example, will stick around.
Everything else will be re-invented if someone possibly can do that.
If we're around so long that is.
Otherwise it'll be back to basics.....
Slingshots and Cannons and really nifty siege engines maybe......
Plows are not going out of business either.
So, in summary. Stuff brakes down. Stuff today breaks down even faster.
So you better shrink wrap and stick something into a climate controlled corner of your kingdom and pass it down the generations.
Otherwise it doesn't look good.
I've spent a little while looking at old hand tools. I don't think that a counter vise or a c-clamp is a machine. I don't think any of my power tools will be useful in 100 or 1000 years. But here's a few wild guesses.
100 years - there will be enthusiasts keeping all kinds of things running 100 years from now. I bet you could find an iPhone, but maybe that's not your idea of a "machine?" How about a single-engine airplane? I see hand-cranked washing machines, tractors, and the like. My guess is that you'll see a few cars, tractors, and home appliances - but more in a museum than regular use.
1000 years - almost nothing made after 1975. You're familiar with Planned Obsolescence, right? We expect to replace things. Power supplies, network connections, all of that stuff will be so different that I am not sure you could turn on anything from today. But I have an apple peeling and coring machine with a hand crank. That would still work in 1000 years. It looks kind of like this:
The rubber base won't seal in 1000 years, but I bet you could still use the thing in 1000 years. Is that a machine?
Thanks for A2A.
Without the appropriate care and maintenance, the answer is probably, "None of them."
While some parts may remain functional, entire appliances won't. Solid-state machines that were "built to last" but have been abandoned are now at risk of becoming useless because EPROMS are decaying and need refreshing before the built-in code is lost forever. This is of great concern to computer preservationists.
Most modern equipment is built as "disposable". The only reason I replaced my cellphone was because the touch sensor failed. The rest of the phone works; I just can't access any of the
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Predicting with absolute certainty which specific machines or electronics will still be functioning 100 or 1000 years from now is extremely challenging due to the rapid pace of technological advancement and the unpredictable nature of future developments. However, there are certain factors that can influence the longevity of machines and electronics:
- Durability: Machines and electronics designed with high-quality materials and robust construction are more likely to withstand the test of time. For example, some industrial equipment, heavy machinery, and certain electronic components built for lo
Providing human civilzation does not self destruct , I do not expect any complex machine in existance and being currently used now , to be in use even 100 years from now.. far less 1000. The reason?
- Past experience. … how many machines from 1918 are still being used today? Museum displays do not count… so not very many. There is just too much continual product improvement for anything to last 100 years
What about atomic clocks?... those should work fine and wont need to be corrected for a few centuries down the road..
Along those lines, I'm guessing the particle colliders will retain their basic construction too
A long shot on this, but i think diode lasers too
100: year outlook
Turbine generators will be pretty much of the design they now are. Their will be improvements in bearings, lubrication. Better material may be developed, but the machines will still run on the principle they now operate under. One LED glow lamps have achieved low cost production there probably will not be much advance in glow lamp ("light bulb") technology.
In the public square, street lamps will not be replaced all that much. Current street lamps are already using high efficiency lighting elements. At most the sockets will be replace to accommodate any improved lamps
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The oldest library on Earth was started by a woman, and finally everyone can visit it
I usually don't answer questions like this. But something about the question intriqued me and it wasn't long until I realized that a topic that I had wanted to write about for some time would be a perfect fit. Let me know if you agree.
When thinking of the oldest universities in the world, Oxford, Bologna, and Spain's University of Salamanca
top the list, ivy- covered cobblestone structures, but according to UNESCO and the Guinness World Records, Al-Qarawiyyin University (also written as Al-Karaouine) is the “… (more)Footnotes
Depends on your meaning. Specific devices, if entirely mechanical might last for several centuries if properly cared for and if replacement parts could be fabricated. Watches, Clocks, And printing presses as a for instance ... there are working examples of each that are older than the US Constitution. As for Electronics .. No. The Components break down too fast, and as technology advances fabrication becomes increasingly difficult.
As hard as I try to think about it, I can't think of any mechanical device that has been in constant use for 1,000 years.
Kitchen knifes.
They have been around for thousands of years and I think they will be around for some hundred more, technological advancement or not. They are so simple yet so effective.
Despite all sorts of sharp things were invented, like
blenders
cheese graters
cheese slicers
pizza slicers
a variety of vegetable peelers
multifunctional stuff like this
and fancy vegetable cutting tools like this
Or a thing that cuts a potatoe in perfect shapes:
But none of these could drive a simple kitchen knife out of the market!
In fact I wouldn’t give my best kitchen knife even if I get all of the above mentioned.
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1,000 years from now there will still be taxes.
And there will still be tax lawyers, doing what we do.
I see no-one's mentioned the wheel yet!
I'm pretty sure that it is not only one of the oldest pieces of technology but that it will also be one of the very last to go.
Don't suppose I'll ever know...
First if all: 1.000 and 1.000.000 years from know on are not predictable, but I will try.
2217: Human invaded mars. Our A.I. technology is nearly perfect and we will have robots that are strong enough to assist us, but not too strong to kill all human. We are on a good way to invent long way space shuttles to send human to Europa (the moon) and look for human. We found thousands of planets we could live on. We still don’t know about intelligent life on those planets and have no possibilities to travel a lightyear long way. 95% of our cars will drive elctrical and life expectancy raised over a h
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This question is actually MUCH harder to answer than it first appears. Lets back up to the year 1920. Humanity has put “The War To End All Wars” in the rearview mirror, and is recovering. Passenger airplanes were small (at most, maybe a dozen people), and moved at 100 mph. Transatlantic flight wouldn’t happen until Lindbergh in 1927… much less Trans-Pacific flight, 1928 with stops, 1931 non-stop.) Movies were still only music, the images, and subtitles, no voice. Television was unknown. Telephones were around, but not present in every home, and didn’t have dials until a few years later… so swi
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The violin.
It really is one of the most remarkable inventions in human history.
The modern violin was developed in the mid 1500s by Andrea Amati, and achieved a step-change in tonal performance compared to any previous bowed instrument.
Approaching 500 years later, no-one has achieved anything more than minor incremental improvements. The contemporary violin is little changed.
It’s not that people haven’t tried - there is a whole museum in Cremona full of failed experiments.
There can be few, if any, inventions of this complexity that have remained essentially unchanged over this length of time. Y
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My daughter and I actually just had a conversation about this. We're doing a few renovations to a house, and were considering replacing a pocket door with a regular hinged door. She said something about wanting a Star Trek door that slides open and closed automatically. I offered my opinion that doors like that will never become mainstream in personal homes, because they're simply too complicated compared to the existing alternatives.
There's an engineering principle with the acronym KISS - Keep It Simple, Stupid. The more parts something has, and the more complicated the design, the more likel
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Very doubtful.
- Material in the semiconductor chips migrate with time, temperature, and electrical current. The tiny traces actually move to the point where where the transistor geometries no longer work or they actually short out. Higher density devices will probably degrade faster. You might make the chips last longer by not applying power and putting it in a deep freeze.
- Before 2005 or so the solder used to connect chips and connectors to a circuit board contained lead. Then the Restriction of Hazardous Substance Directive (RoHS) was adopted and lead was all but removed. This sounds like a gre
Art: there’s a lot of it that is centuries old, and people still like it.
Road Travel: We cannot avoid traveling by making contact with the ground, at least not in a hundred years. Speeds cannot improve beyond what we have currently without being more dangerous.
More modern electronics,
such as current P. C.s and Mobiles,
may work for many years if not used much,
or, if the lifetime of all component parts has not been exceeded :
i. e. YES, they could last 100 years, ‘IF’ they have not exceeded their lifetimes :
all such technology -
e.g. cars, aeroplanes, bicycles, wind farms, solar power plants, nuclear power plants,
etc., etc. ,
are designed within ‘tolerances’ ( an Engineering term ), or ‘ expected operating lifetime’ of each constituent part ;
once any part of the device has passed its manufacturing tolerances, it fails - ergo, the device will fail.
It cann
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The interior of France offers wonderfully remote towns and villages to discover, connected by winding country roads which occasionally have to cross some deeply incised river gorges.
Having just passed one of those bridges, you stop the car to take a look down, and back at the beautiful stone arches supporting the two lane road you just drove on. Then you discover a marble tableau telling the story of the edifice - and scare bleu! - you realise that this piece of highway architecture was built by the Romans! Yes, 2000 years ago and still serving its purpose! An internet search could tell you ab
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Possibly.
The usual deterioration that occurs with age is from things like electronic components, especially capacitors, drying out. There are also risks that information storage media used with that old machine might have deteriorated as well, even if the computer is working well.
For example, magnetic media like floppy disks and tapes are known to experience something colloquially called “bitrot” and become difficult to read. Things like hard disks rely on close tolerances for things like the spacing of the read head over the media/disk surface, and if lubricants have congealed or dried out, y
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It is unlikely that technology from today such as smartphones, TVs, and game consoles will work 1,000 years from now. Technology advances at an exponential rate, and it is likely that in 1,000 years, we will have developed new and more advanced technologies that will make today's technology obsolete.
For example, smartphones, TVs, and game consoles all rely on electricity to function. It is possible that in 1,000 years, we will have developed new and more efficient ways to generate and store electricity. This could make today's technology incompatible with the new power grid.
Additionally, smart
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It would be even more different over the next 100 years because advances in communication/science/technology etc will move things on more quickly.
100 years from now we will almost certainly be ‘ruled’ by robots and we could have found a habitable planet - useful for solving over-population.
On the other hand, we may have destroyed our planet and ourselves as a result of climate change or warfare.
I won’t be around in 100 years to know, but I wish future generations well.
Straight up: I’m working on a book. It’s been my dream to write one since I can remember, and a small wildfire of ideas has started to come together.
My intention, in part, has to do with how nearly everything manufactured is meant to be disposed of, designed to end up in a landfill. A friend of mine (who happens to be an engineer) told me, in contrast, about the Centennial Light Bulb (AKA the Shelby Lightbulb).
The Shelby light bulb has been producing light for over 100 years.
If you’re like me, you never heard of this miracle invention. You might even assume that our friend Edison created it.
Yo
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Let’s look at the top 10 companies on the 2019 Fortune 500 list:
1. Walmart — founded in 1962, although Sam Walton first started running retail stores in 1945.
2. Exxon Mobile — traces its roots to Standard Oil, founded in 1870.
3. Apple — founded in 1976.
4. Berkshire Hathaway — traces its roots back to an 1839 New England textile company, taken over by Warren Buffett in the 1960s and transformed.
The computer - although it may be virtually unrecognisable in the forms, shapes and objects through which it is expressed in this era.
We can see electric car model of 19th century in exhibitions today. You can also see steam engines over 100 years old in few places. Some are also kept in service only to give a vintage feel.
Similarly we can see some gadgets of today in next century in some collector items. They will still remain in good working conditions.
They will be a part of curiosity and history, and you may expect many common devices at that time, which we cannot imagine today.
Cast iron cookware. I have a cast iron chicken fryer that was my wife’s grandmother’s, and it’s as good as the day it was made. If it gets rusty, you just scrub it with steel wool and re-season the pan, and you’re good to go.
The manual tin can opener is basically unchanged since its invention, although there are modern variants, including electric can openers. From Wikipedia: Although preservation of food using tin cans had been practiced since at least 1772 in the Netherlands, the first can openers were not patented until 1855 in England and 1858 in the United States.
I’m not sure that this qualifies as being virtually unchanged, but it may be what you are looking for. The first practical use was in the early 1800s, and although it has been substantially improved over there years, the electric motor is still based
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There’s a tool called a plumb-bob, consisting of a weight on a string, coated with chalk. You use it to find vertical lines during construction. There’s evidence of it’s use building the pyramids, and we still use this same method at times today.
I think shoes will still be used in 100 years, they are a very essential asset to own now, so they probably will hold the same a century from now ;-)
Morons. Like cockroaches, they spring up everywhere and refuse to die. LOL!
If you consider the basic machines then they will go on for a long while. By that I mean the screw for fastening, the pulley in various forms, and of course the wheel even if we invent anti-gravity.
Assuming we’re all still here, who knows? Look at everything that has happened since 1900. In my lifetime we went to the moon, put a computer in every home, FM surpassed AM in radio listeners, we have radio on the computer that is taking over from both FM and AM, I have weather radar, a phone, and email right in my hand, self-defrosting refrigerators, on and on and on!
Good luck with your predictions! Nothing we predict today will be correct. Reason? We are making predictions with today’s perspective and data.
Blessings!
The act of purchasing is celebrated in an annual ritual as a long ago action that no one nowadays does, or knows how to do. Especially since it once involved the use of currency in digits—we know what that is today because we show how it worked in museums—yes we still have museums, useful places for teaching the children about the bad old days, don’t you know. And it involved some people having a huge pile of that stuff for “purchasing,” and others practically none at all, thus being seriously shut out of all the fun, not to mention enough to eat. A “product” was designed to scarf up as much o
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